ID :
17629
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 09:23
Auther :

India expects to save $17 bn on oil prices fall: Assocham

New Delhi, Aug 31 (PTI) India is expected to save about USD 17 billion this fiscal on crude oil import bill due to fall in crude oil prices, currently hovering between USD 110-120 per barrel after nearly touching USD 150 per barrel mark, a study said.

According to the industry body Assocham's Eco Pulse study on 'Crude Economics', the oil import bill for the current fiscal would have soared to USD 125 billion had crude oil prices remained at USD 145 per barrel level.

However, with the reversal in price movement, the import
bill for crude oil would be restrained to USD 108 billion, it
said.

Although, experts are still not sure whether the crude
price decline would sustain in coming months, but so far it
has shed almost 25 per cent after peaking to an all time high
of USD 147.27 per barrel in July this year.

The study noted that oil prices have nosedived mainly on
account of correction in demand, easing supply conditions and
stronger US dollar.

The demand in the US, the biggest oil consumer has
fallen sharply from 20.7 million barrels per day (mbpd) in
2007 to 19.88 mbpd in the first quarter of 2008, the chamber
said.

In April-June this year, India's oil import bill stood at
25.5 billion dollars against 17 billion dollars during the
corresponding period last year.

Fall in oil import bill will also help the government to
bridge the trade deficit which rose to 30.4 billion dollars in
the first three months of this fiscal.

The O.E.C.D.-European countries have also registered a
slowdown in demand from 15.28 mbpd in 2007 to 15.24 mbpd in
the first quarter of this year.

Softening crude oil prices may come as a respite to
the burgeoning current account deficit growing at an alarming
rate mainly due to the rising crude oil bill.

Trade deficit for the first quarter of the fiscal
(April-June 2008) widened 42 percent on account of a 50.2
percent rise in the oil imports. The oil import bill for Q1 08
stood at a whopping USD 25.5 billion on top of USD 17 billion
in the same quarter last fiscal.

The economic forces at play in shrinking demand and
improving supply facilities may cool down crude oil prices
further which would lead to a narrower than estimated current
account deficit, Assocham President Sajjan Jindal said.

Strengthening dollar has also played its role in cooling
down the crude prices. The greenback has appreciated by as
much as 6 percent versus Euro in the last three months. PTI

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